Senate Battleground
Key 2026 Senate races. Forecasts are model-based projections of the two-party vote share if the election were held under current conditions.
Last updated: November 25, 2025
North Carolina
General
Roy Cooper (D)
50.6%
Michael Whatley (R)
49.4%
Leader: Cooper +1.2
Georgia
General
Jon Ossoff (D)
51.2%
Mike Collins (R)
48.8%
Leader: Ossoff +2.4
Republican Primary
Mike Collins
39.9%
Buddy Carter
26.7%
Derek Dooley
23.5%
Leader: Collins +13.2
Michigan
General
Haley Stevens (D)
50.4%
Mike Rogers (R)
49.6%
Leader: Stevens +0.8
Democratic Primary
Haley Stevens
39.0%
Mallory McMorrow
33.5%
Abdul El-Sayed
19.5%
Leader: Stevens +5.5
New Hampshire
General
Chris Pappas (D)
51.5%
John Sununu (R)
48.5%
Leader: Pappas +3.0
Democratic Primary
Chris Pappas
71.0%
Karshmina Manzur
24.0%
Jared Sullivan
5.0%
Leader: Pappas +47.0
Republican Primary
John Sununu
55.9%
Scott Brown
34.6%
Dan Innis
9.5%
Leader: Sununu +21.3
Ohio (special)
General
Jon Husted (R)
51.7%
Sherrod Brown (D)
48.3%
Leader: Husted +3.4
Texas
General
Ken Paxton (R)
51.3%
Jasmine Crockett (D)
48.7%
Leader: Paxton +2.6
Democratic Primary
Jasmine Crockett
33.0%
Beto O’Rourke
30.0%
James Talarico
22.0%
Colin Allred
11.0%
Leader: Crockett +3.0
Republican Primary
Ken Paxton
41.8%
John Cornyn
36.4%
Brandon Hunt
15.8%
Leader: Paxton +5.4
Maine
General
Susan Collins (R)
51.1%
Janet Mills (D)
48.9%
Leader: Collins +2.2
Democratic Primary
Janet Mills
52.0%
Graham Platner
43.0%
Jordan Wood
3.0%
Leader: Mills +9.0