Democratic Nomination
National 2028 Democratic primary support estimate if the primary were held today.
Last updated: November 24, 2025
Current National Estimate
- Gavin Newsom 26.2%
- Kamala Harris 22.7%
- Pete Buttigieg 11.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9.3%
- Josh Shapiro 7.4%
- Gretchen Whitmer 5.8%
- Wes Moore 4.9%
- JB Pritzker 4.1%
- Cory Booker 3.0%
- Chris Murphy 2.5%
Newsom and Harris form a clear early top tier, with Buttigieg and Ocasio-Cortez in a second tier and a broader field of governors and senators in the low-to-mid single digits. The race is still fluid and name recognition driven, and the balance among these candidates could shift quickly once debates, endorsements and early-state contests start to matter.
State-by-State Forecasts
As reliable state-level data emerges and the 2028 calendar comes into focus, this section will break out the Democratic presidential primary state by state (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina and beyond).